Great stuff here, thank you. I keep going back to point #2, coaching. Everything seems to lead back to this.....giving up breakaways (which Gru can NOT stop) is usually because Hak has nothing but point shots, which, if blocked, lead to breakaways or odd-man rushes. Coaching....need to protect your goalie.
Which is even more odd to have Gru on pace for ~63 games this season, when Dreidger has been playing better as of late, odd strategy Cotton.
Then giving up a goal 14% of the time following your own goal! What in the world is this...coaching and Gru! Gru lets in 261% of expected goals in the 60 seconds following a Kraken goal!!!
What to do now: given the current spot in standings, become a seller at the deadline, stock up for next year with Beniers and a new head coach!
This is peak, "When anyone else is wrong we dunk on them, call them dinosaurs and say the game has passed them by, when we're wrong it's a stupid chaotic sport no one can predict"
Anyone that thought this team was going to be good this season is a fool. As soon as the expansion draft was done i figured at least 3 years to be decent, and that is assuming they draft well and develop. I have only watched them play a handful of tines but they have a major talent deficit.
Great writeup putting into words what this STH has been witnessing first hand and only been able to let out unintelligible screams. Thanks for putting facts behind the "great taste, less filling" debate about whether it's the D or Gru. It's not D, it's Gru....by any visual account the team D rides most entries into the zone to the sides, off the puck and deftly takes the puck away. Of course, they're prone to giving it right back, but still Gru needs to stop them (more at least).
The other noticeable thing on offense is that they seem perfectly content to let all 3 Fs go digging in the corners and behind the goal line. When one of them actually gets the bone, there's NO ONE - zero, zilch - in front of the net. Then they have to cycle it out to the point, where there are no shooting lanes, and I don't see fearsome shooters in this roster either. Seems more often than not they then try to pass it cross rink and invariably it eventually hops over a stick and leads to the odd man rush. Is this use of the Fs also part of Haks' scheme or is it lack of discipline on the players' part?
Do you think there is a possibility that these models are not shrinking goalie projections enough to the mean? Or similarly, that goalie projections do not have enough uncertainty around them? I imagine if either of these were the case, team win projections could be overconfident. With that said, everything I've seen online indicates calibrated predictions. But I wonder if something like that could be at fault.
Predictive Models Said the Kraken Would Be Great. They Suck. What Happened?
Great stuff here, thank you. I keep going back to point #2, coaching. Everything seems to lead back to this.....giving up breakaways (which Gru can NOT stop) is usually because Hak has nothing but point shots, which, if blocked, lead to breakaways or odd-man rushes. Coaching....need to protect your goalie.
Which is even more odd to have Gru on pace for ~63 games this season, when Dreidger has been playing better as of late, odd strategy Cotton.
Then giving up a goal 14% of the time following your own goal! What in the world is this...coaching and Gru! Gru lets in 261% of expected goals in the 60 seconds following a Kraken goal!!!
What to do now: given the current spot in standings, become a seller at the deadline, stock up for next year with Beniers and a new head coach!
Thank you. Now I have nice place to point all the people who keep telling me Seattle's defense sucks and Grubauer is actually good.
This is peak, "When anyone else is wrong we dunk on them, call them dinosaurs and say the game has passed them by, when we're wrong it's a stupid chaotic sport no one can predict"
Launched 2 years ago and this website still blows 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
A new damn team and already talking shit about them. What's your nhl team? Don't know anything about kraken but they sucked their first year.
Anyone that thought this team was going to be good this season is a fool. As soon as the expansion draft was done i figured at least 3 years to be decent, and that is assuming they draft well and develop. I have only watched them play a handful of tines but they have a major talent deficit.
Great writeup putting into words what this STH has been witnessing first hand and only been able to let out unintelligible screams. Thanks for putting facts behind the "great taste, less filling" debate about whether it's the D or Gru. It's not D, it's Gru....by any visual account the team D rides most entries into the zone to the sides, off the puck and deftly takes the puck away. Of course, they're prone to giving it right back, but still Gru needs to stop them (more at least).
The other noticeable thing on offense is that they seem perfectly content to let all 3 Fs go digging in the corners and behind the goal line. When one of them actually gets the bone, there's NO ONE - zero, zilch - in front of the net. Then they have to cycle it out to the point, where there are no shooting lanes, and I don't see fearsome shooters in this roster either. Seems more often than not they then try to pass it cross rink and invariably it eventually hops over a stick and leads to the odd man rush. Is this use of the Fs also part of Haks' scheme or is it lack of discipline on the players' part?
Do you think there is a possibility that these models are not shrinking goalie projections enough to the mean? Or similarly, that goalie projections do not have enough uncertainty around them? I imagine if either of these were the case, team win projections could be overconfident. With that said, everything I've seen online indicates calibrated predictions. But I wonder if something like that could be at fault.
Schenn’s low offensive numbered aren’t because of Schwartz’s absence. He’s been injured. Good lord.